The original mind map is from 2010 and appeared in my book which was published in 2011. It is one of the most popular blogs on this site, so I thought it was time to see if I could revamp it. The new map (2017) is made in iMindmap (previous one was in MyThoughts) and I think the readability has been improved . I added the election of Trump to show that we should not too quickly call something a black swan event. As Newsweek stated: “In a two-horse race, which is effectively what the American presidential election is, the fact is that one horse is going to win.”
click mind map to enlarge
I am intrigued by the book Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. It’s on my top 10 list of business books. The black swan is a metaphor for a highly improbable event that can not be anticipated by extrapolating past data. As a mindmapper, I like Taleb’s theorem that we concentrate too much on what we know, and too little on what we do not know. Taleb also writes that we should be wary of too much information. Although I agree (is it possibly at all to disagree?), it is a bit weird that his book is over 300 pages (not including Taleb’s essay on robustness ad fragility). That triggered me to condense his book in a mind map using less than 100 words. Focus. Filter. Fight information overload. At the same time I tried to make the branch ‘dealing’ (with Black Swans) more tangible (isn’t that the weak spot in Taleb’s excellent book?) I was inspired by the book Stalking the black swan by Kenneth Posner in adding info how to cope with black swans.
Mindmap © Hans Buskes, thanks to Pascal Venier for fine-tuning definition Black Swan and Bart van Gerven for Black Swan example (ozon hole).
click map to enlarge
Map is inspired by the new book Bob Dylan FAQ by Bruce Pollock (the book has been uptil now under the radar and deserves more attention). The data are partly from this book, the Bob Dylan website and the setlistwiki. Please note that the data of the number of times songs are played differ in the sources used.
- The song being played live most ever is All along the watchtower (2257, compare e.g. Jumpin Jack Flash has been played 1130 times by the Rolling Stones)
- A lot of songs of New Morning have not been played live once (Pollock calls them “songs in mothballs”) and not suprisingly New Morning is in the top 4 most neglected albums (number one is Knocked out loaded)
- “Sinatra” covers are moving up quickly in the top 10 most played covers by Bob Dylan (Why try to change me now is on number one)
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It’s. Movember. Time to grow your mo. If you have no clue what this is about: November is the month to grow your moustache (mo is slang for moustache) to help raise awareness for prostate cancer. Movember, a blend of november and mo, is a worldwide movement started by two Australian guys in 2004. To help raise money for men’s health issues. And prostate cancer surely is one of them. About 1 man in 7 is diagnosed with it. The Movember Foundation has raised since 2004 a whopping $ 700 million. That is impressive. It has donated for example $ 44 million to the Prostate Cancer Foundation for research that will lead to novel tools to diagnose prostate cancer earlier and to generate precision treatment strategies. There is criticism as well. For example that growing moustaches is concealing the actual issue (comparable to the ALS ice bucket challenge). The Movember Foundation is aware of this and has started a second campaign next to the “grow your mo”: take the move challenge.
What Movember shows is that having a great story, working for a good cause, building a strong brand, designing a creative campaign, will lead to great success. Movember is number 55 on the top 100 NGO’s in the world.
Update 5 November (click image to enlarge)
As you can see the chances of winning dropped considerably for Hillary Clinton, however she still has the lead.
Data 21 October
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October 21, 2016
Tagged Clinton, debate night, Donald Trump, Election forecast, Elections 2016, Fivethirtyeight, Hillary Clinton, Presidency, President US, Trump, US elections